Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#248
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#235
Pace71.2#90
Improvement+5.7#7

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#208
First Shot-1.9#235
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#139
Layup/Dunks-1.3#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#73
Freethrows-2.2#303
Improvement+4.7#11

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#278
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#296
Layups/Dunks-2.2#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#122
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement+1.0#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 78   @ Auburn L 66-83 10%     0 - 1 -7.8 -12.2 +6.3
  Nov 16, 2016 31   Miami (FL) L 56-94 8%     0 - 2 -27.7 -9.3 -18.2
  Nov 18, 2016 173   @ LSU L 70-78 24%     0 - 3 -5.7 -6.8 +1.2
  Nov 25, 2016 172   North Dakota W 76-75 31%     1 - 3 +0.8 +1.2 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2016 122   Cal St. Bakersfield L 54-77 23%     1 - 4 -20.6 -8.8 -13.2
  Nov 27, 2016 165   @ Wright St. L 67-75 23%     1 - 5 -5.4 -3.2 -2.5
  Dec 01, 2016 8   Florida L 60-91 3%     1 - 6 -14.3 -2.9 -11.2
  Dec 03, 2016 46   @ Syracuse L 71-77 5%     1 - 7 +7.6 +8.2 -1.2
  Dec 10, 2016 35   @ Arkansas L 76-91 4%     1 - 8 -0.4 +1.2 -0.3
  Dec 12, 2016 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 84-98 58%     1 - 9 -21.3 -6.6 -12.6
  Dec 18, 2016 84   @ Connecticut L 59-80 11%     1 - 10 -12.7 -2.1 -12.5
  Dec 21, 2016 276   @ Florida International L 54-78 47%     1 - 11 -28.4 -18.4 -11.9
  Dec 29, 2016 166   Ball St. L 68-73 39%     1 - 12 -7.5 +2.6 -10.7
  Jan 07, 2017 286   @ Jacksonville W 80-64 50%     2 - 12 1 - 0 +10.7 +1.2 +9.2
  Jan 12, 2017 238   @ South Carolina Upstate W 73-65 38%     3 - 12 2 - 0 +5.8 -0.6 +6.7
  Jan 14, 2017 294   @ NJIT L 78-84 52%     3 - 13 2 - 1 -11.9 +2.5 -14.4
  Jan 19, 2017 252   Kennesaw St. W 86-84 60%     4 - 13 3 - 1 -5.9 +6.9 -12.8
  Jan 21, 2017 164   Lipscomb W 90-84 39%     5 - 13 4 - 1 +3.6 +4.6 -1.7
  Jan 25, 2017 117   Florida Gulf Coast L 82-86 30%     5 - 14 4 - 2 -3.8 +11.6 -15.6
  Jan 28, 2017 322   @ Stetson L 74-88 62%     5 - 15 4 - 3 -22.3 -10.9 -10.4
  Jan 30, 2017 117   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 59-74 16%     5 - 16 4 - 4 -9.7 -7.1 -4.1
  Feb 04, 2017 322   Stetson W 96-64 78%     6 - 16 5 - 4 +18.7 +10.2 +7.4
  Feb 09, 2017 294   NJIT W 91-69 71%     7 - 16 6 - 4 +11.0 +15.1 -3.7
  Feb 11, 2017 238   South Carolina Upstate L 71-84 58%     7 - 17 6 - 5 -20.3 -11.3 -8.3
  Feb 16, 2017 164   @ Lipscomb W 93-82 23%     8 - 17 7 - 5 +13.6 +11.1 +1.5
  Feb 18, 2017 252   @ Kennesaw St. L 68-85 41%     8 - 18 7 - 6 -19.9 -12.4 -6.3
  Feb 23, 2017 286   @ Jacksonville W 73-69 50%     9 - 18 8 - 6 -1.3 +1.2 -2.2
  Feb 27, 2017 286   Jacksonville W 77-74 69%     10 - 18 -7.4 +5.2 -12.3
  Mar 02, 2017 164   @ Lipscomb W 91-85 23%     11 - 18 +8.6 +10.4 -2.2
  Mar 05, 2017 117   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 61-77 16%     11 - 19 -10.7 -4.8 -7.5
Projected Record 11.0 - 19.0 8.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 100.0
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%